Thursday, October 29, 2009

Pick'em

the pick'em game is all tied up: Billy 15-10 J-rock 15-10 Don 15-10

We're going with the full schedule of Big XII vs. Big XII and SEC vs. SEC from here on:

Nebraska -13 @ Baylor: Baylor
Mizzou -3 1/2 @ Colorado: Mizzou
Iowa State @ A&M -7 : Iowa State
Kansas @ Texas Tech -6 1/2: Kansas
Kansas State @ Oklahoma -28 1/2 : Kansas State
TExas -9 @ Oklahoma STate: Oklahoma State
Ole Miss -4 @ Auburn: Ole Miss
Georgia @ Florida -15: Florida
Miss. State @ Kentucky -3 1/2: Miss. State
South Carolina @ Tenn. -5 1/2: USC
USC -3 @ Oregon: USC

Breaking Down the Top 10 / BCS Bowl Predictions

Let's break down the BCS top 10 and what each team has left ahead of them.

#1 Florida - remaining road blocks: Georgia, South Carolina, Florida State, and either Bama or LSU in the SEC title game

#2 Bama - LSU, Miss. State, and Auburn: and possibly the SEC title game if they can win out

#3 Texas - Oklahoma State, Kansas and whoever survives on top in the north for the title

#4 Iowa - Ohio State

#5 USC - Oregon, Stanford, and Arizona

#6 TCU - Utah

#7 Boise - pretty much done after week 1 vs. Oregon

#8 Cincy - West Virginia and Pitt

#9 LSU - Bama, Ole Miss, Arkansas: possibly SEC title game if they win out

#10 Oregon - USC, Stanford, Arizona, and Oregon State

What will happen? I have no idea! What do I think? I think the 5 bowl BCS system this season will have a hard time keeping Boise and TCU out provided neither lose a game. My thinking behind this is generally you have multiple teams from at least two conferences and this year it could be hard to justify any conference outside of the SEC for two teams unless Texas has a let down versus Oklahoma State. My fear is that the BCS will make a mockery of TCU and Boise State by matching them up against each other to avoid both Boise and TCU knocking off two BCS conference schools and clouding up the BCS theory even further. Both of these schools have great programs, but unfortunately BCS schools don't want them on their schedule regularly and it makes it tough for either of these two to have a strong enough strength of schedule at the end of the year to justify a shot at the title.

Bowl Predictions:

BCS Title: Florida vs. TEXAS
Rose Bowl: USC vs. Ohio State ( yes i think they win out, knocking of IOWA )
Sugar Bowl: Bama vs. Boston College ( this is a shot in the dark )
Orange Bowl: Cincy vs. TCU
Fiesta Bowl: Boise vs. Iowa ( only because i think OU will give Ok. State their 3rd loss)

Thursday, October 22, 2009

8 Game pick'em this week

Heading into the week J Rock leads the pack @ 11 - 6 while Don and I are both 10-7

this week

Arkansas @ OLE Miss - 6 1/2 : Arkansas

Oklahoma State -9 1/2 @ Baylor : Oklahoma State

Bama -14 1/2 vs. Tennessee : Tennessee

A&M vs. Texas TEch - 21 1/2 : A&M

TCU - 2 1/2 vs. BYU : BYU

Auburn @ LSU - 7 1/2 : AUBURN

Oregon STate @ USC -20 1/2 : Oregon State

Texas -13 @ Mizzou : Texas

Wednesday, October 21, 2009

Two Questions

Texas and Florida narrowly survive last weekend, but the road ahead appears to be much easier for UT with really only Oklahoma State and the Big XII title game in between them and the National Championship. Texas Tech rolled Nebraska with relative ease last week, and once again shows that the North half of the Big XII just doesn't stack up to the South. In the SEC, Auburn falls to Kentucky, which if this were basketball would be no big deal, but in football this just doesn't happen.

So, here's my first question: Is or was the Big XII overrated coming in to this season, the first BCS polls released and only 3 teams make the top 25, and in my opinion the third Kansas @ 25 doesn't deserve that ranking. My answer is yes, the conference was highly overrated this year, to me this has primarily been a two team conference for the past decade or so, and honestly i think the 3 loss Sooners are still better than the rest of the pack behind UT.

Question #2: If Texas were to slip up and lose a game is it really possible that we could Boise State in the title game? Some of you may ask why only Texas slip up, what about Florida and Bama, and my answer would be that with the Big XII not being as strong this year Texas will not have any advantage in strength of schedule. Okay, back to the question, I believe absolutely under no circumstance will the BCS put Boise in the title game even if they are the only unbeaten remaining. Boise is a great program that has done very well with what they have, but at the end of the day they only faced one BCS school all season, and I would have no problem with them getting a BCS birth, just not the one that really matters.

Thursday, October 15, 2009

Picks!!

my pick
Texas vs. OU TEXAS -3 : TEXAS

Alabama vs. South Carolina Bama - 17: USc

TT vs. Nebraska Neb. - 10 TECH

Virginia TEch vs. Georgia Tech VT - 3 VT

Mizzou vs. Oklahoma State OSU - 7 Mizzou

Florida vs. Arkansas UF - 24 1/2 Arkansas

Monday, October 12, 2009

Big week ahead for Big XII and SEC

Pick em results: Billy : 5-1 (7-5) Don: 3-3 (6-6) J Rock: 4-2 (7-5)

Seperation Saturday this week as UT vs. OU, Florida vs. Arkansas, Bama vs. South Carolina, TT vs. Nebraska, VT vs. GT, USC vs. ND, and Mizzou vs. Oklahoma State.

The REd River rivalry resumes with the Big XII South on the line as #2 Texas faces off with #18 OU. The Horns got caught sleeping in the 1st half vs. Colorado, similar to the slow start they had against Wyoming, but it won't be so easy to recover from a slow start against OU. Oklahoma on the other hand has been a hard team to figure out this season, Stoops seems to get ultra conservative in big games and rely on his defense, but the Sooner defense isn't strong enough to play that brand of football. One thing is for sure, if OU has a chance they will have to find a way to contain Jordan Shipley, he could and should be the one UT player in the Heisman talk rather than McCoy. My guess is the Horns will find a way to get out of this game undefeated and move a step closer to the National Championship.

Tuesday, October 6, 2009

PIcks, and new rules

Last week nobody pulled away in the pick'em contest:

Billy: 2-4
J rock" 3-3
Don : 3-3

So, from here on we will pick against the spread on the day it's posted. This should help eliminate any ties down the road.

favorite my pick


#21 Nebraska @ #24 Mizzou: Nebraska favored by 3 : Nebraska

#3 Bama @ #20 Ole Miss : Bama favored by 6 1/2 : Bama

#2 Texas @ Colorado : Texas favored by 32 : Colorado

Auburn @ Arkansas : Auburn favored by 2 1/2 : Auburn

#1 Florida @ #4 LSU : no line out so pick im : Florida

#16 Oklahoma State @ A & M : no line : OSU

Nothing surprises me any more

OU lays and egg against the U and Houston gets absolutely blown out by UTEP. This week brings us a couple of good match-ups, including Auburn @ Arkansas, Nebraska @ Mizzou, Florida vs. LSU

My Big XII championship picks are constantly changing these days as OU seems to have the Stoops curse in big games. So, here's my new championship prediction. Nebraska vs. UT and Nebraska will be this years Big XII champion.

Thursday, October 1, 2009

Games of the Week, take your stance boys

As requested this week we'll start games of the week, since i seem to have only two followers that comment, lets make our picks and i'll keep up with the standings. Anyone else who would like to make picks feel free as well.

Games of the week: Make your picks

#8 OU @ #17 Miami : this game would have been much more interesting had Miami not got blown out last week, but OU seems to be getting on track on offense with or without Bradford.

I like OU - 27 Miami - 10

A & M vs. Arkansas : A&M comes in unbeaten, but that is not saying a lot considering they have played nobody to this point, Arkansas comes off back to back losses against BAMA and UGA, but i think they win here going away.

Arkansas - 41 A&M - 28

#4 LSU @ #18 UGA - the tigers take their unbeaten record between the hedges to do battle with the 1 loss bulldogs. Interesting game, Georgia's offense is on track and LSU's defense has stepped up to keep them winning despite the problems on offense, but between the hedges i'll have to lean towards UGA taking a bite out of Mike.

#18 UGA - 31 #4 LSU - 20


Auburn @ Tennessee - Auburn gets it's first road test of the season against a much improved Vols, Auburns offense is 100% better than last year, but the defense to this point has been just good enough. Tennessee can play D, but Crompton and this offense has been absent thus far in the season.

Auburn - 24 Tenn - 20

#7 USC @ #24 Cal: i'm going against the field here with my upset of the week, and here's my thinking. Cal will match up against USC much better than they did against the ducks. USC has struggled running the ball effectively thus far and really has been putting up a lot of points thus far. Cal after being blown out last week in Eugene is looking to save their season. As for USC, this isn't the high powered Trojan attack of past seasons, and yes they may very well show up and blow away Cal, but you have to take a chance somewhere.

#24 CAL - 27 #7 USC - 24

UCLA @ Stanford - I like UCLA here by a field goal

Washington @ Notre Dame - I'll take Washington in the minor upset on the road